The Kansas City Chiefs and the Philadelphia Eagles are set to face off in a highly anticipated game, rekindling the rivalry last witnessed in the Super Bowl two years ago. The Chiefs, led by Patrick Mahomes, attempted a mere 27 passes in that game, a stark contrast to Mahomes' typical performance in other Super Bowls where he has averaged at least 42 passes. This game promises to be a tactical showdown as both teams come armed with impressive statistics.
Since their last encounter, key players have demonstrated remarkable consistency. For instance, Nick Bolton of the Chiefs has played 94% of the snaps, averaging 6.5 tackles per game. Similarly, the Eagles' DeVonta Smith has been a steady performer, averaging 4.0 tackles per game over eight outings.
Statistically, the Eagles hold an edge with an impressive offensive EPA of 8.7 and a defensive EPA of 2.7, placing them among the top teams in both categories. Their combined EPA of 1.8 ranks second best in both regular-season and postseason games. The Chiefs, however, are not far behind with a combined EPA of 5.1, ranking them fifth best overall.
In their previous meeting, Mahomes completed 21 of 27 passes for 182 yards, including three touchdowns with no interceptions, showcasing his efficiency. The Eagles, known for their run-heavy offensive scheme, rely on Jalen Hurts, who has scored at least one rushing touchdown in 12 of his 17 full games this season.
Defensively, the Chiefs have opted to shadow DeVonta Smith with L'Jarius Sneed, while Jaylen Watson and Joshua Williams took turns covering A.J. Brown. Meanwhile, the Eagles' defense under Vic Fangio is characterized by a balanced coverage scheme and blitzes only 18.4% of the time, among the lowest in the league.
With defenses blitzing the Chiefs only 24.5% of the time, Mahomes may have more opportunities to connect with his receivers. Additionally, Isiah Pacheco has emerged as a target for Mahomes, with two-plus targets in four of seven games since returning from injury.
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