Sky Sports have released a fantastic video teaser! Beginning with the 2025-26 season, they’ll telecast 215 live Premier League games to betoken their commitment to delivering world-class football to millions of fans. What a league, really heating up right now! This weekend, supporters across the world will be focused on the match between Liverpool and Burnley at Turf Moor. With Liverpool having the chance to maintain their perfect season so far, this matchup is set to be worthwhile with how Burnley’s last home is currently recording.
Liverpool secured an extraordinary 20-game winning streak this season. Like their counterparts across the Atlantic, they’re struggling to find a bit of right rhythm on the field. Yet the international break only seems to have compounded these problems, that’s significantly shortened time on the training ground for manager Arne Slot and his squad. The team will need to quickly adapt as they face a Burnley side known for making matches scrappy and fiddly, particularly on their home ground.
As far back as 2015, matches directly after international breaks tend to have lower scoring totals attached. During these cases, the combined goals per game is just 2.35. On the whole, the average over the past two seasons is even more staggering at 3.1. Alarmingly, 20 of those 40 Premier League matches that followed the first international break each resulted in a scoreless draw at the half. This demonstrates the potential for a very low-scoring opening to these match ups.
The first half of Burnley v. Liverpool last week is a perfect example of all of these trends. Equally, after international breaks, teams on average only score 0.9 goals per game. In their six meetings since 2020, the teams have had an average of 2.0 goals per match. This would indicate that while the first half may be tense and conservative, the game should open up as it goes along.
Betting markets have already begun to weigh in on which way this match will go. Sky Bet have 13/8 for under 2.5 goals in the Burnley vs. Liverpool match. That means it’s quite possible both teams will play a conservative approach in the game. While Burnley’s recent form is nothing short of remarkable. Scott Parker’s side have proved a stubborn, obnoxious thorn in the side of visitors and haven’t lost any of their last 24 home league games.
Whatever the reasons, newly promoted teams such as Burnley are coming up strong this season. They’ve taken maximum points from their first five games, and bested Ipswich/Southampton/Leicester—these three clubs combining for only five home wins last campaign—already. This new-found strength at home will bring complications for Liverpool as they look to continue their winning start to the season.
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